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What will be the outcome of Trump-Putin negotiations on Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. or Russian governments and major international news outlets
Story
Putin Open to Talks, Says Ukraine Crisis Avoidable If Trump Were President
Jan 24, 2025, 04:39 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that the Ukraine crisis could have been avoided if former U.S. President Donald Trump had been in office. In an interview on Friday, Putin expressed readiness to negotiate with Trump to resolve the conflict. He suggested that under Trump's leadership, the war in Ukraine might not have occurred. Putin's remarks, made during an interview on Friday, highlight his openness to negotiations and echo Trump's own statements about the situation, underscoring ongoing tensions with the current U.S. administration.
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Other outcome • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continued negotiations without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
No significant agreements • 25%
Partial agreement on conflict resolution • 25%
Summit canceled • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No significant change • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%