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What will be the outcome of the Trump-Putin meeting regarding Ukraine by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the White House, Kremlin, or major news outlets
Story
Trump to Meet Putin 'Very Quickly' After January 20 Inauguration, First Since Ukraine War
Jan 14, 2025, 05:39 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin 'very quickly' following his inauguration on January 20. This meeting would mark the first interaction between the leaders of the U.S. and Russia since the onset of Russia's war with Ukraine in February 2022. In discussions about his strategy to end the conflict, Trump emphasized that the resolution depends on Putin, noting that the Russian leader is 'unhappy with how things are going in Ukraine.' Trump also mentioned that Putin is keen on holding talks, indicating a mutual interest in dialogue.
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Successful peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Agreement in principle • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
No agreement, talks stalled • 25%
Agreement to hold a summit • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Joint statement on Ukraine • 25%
No agreement on further meetings • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%