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What will be the outcome of Trump-Putin discussions on Ukraine by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations without agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or reports from reputable news agencies
Story
Putin Ready to Discuss Ukraine and Nuclear Arms with Trump, Awaits U.S. Signals
Jan 24, 2025, 10:08 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin is prepared to engage in dialogue with U.S. President Donald Trump, according to Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov. The Kremlin is awaiting signals from Washington to initiate this communication, indicating a readiness for a phone call between the two leaders. This comes after Trump expressed his desire to meet Putin as soon as possible to negotiate an end to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and to discuss nuclear arms reduction. Peskov emphasized that Putin is ready for such discussions, but stressed the need for clear signals from the U.S. before proceeding.
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No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Continuation of conflict • 25%
Partial withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement on conflict resolution • 25%
Summit canceled • 25%
No significant agreements • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%