What will be the outcome of the TikTok ban review by January 19, 2024?
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
Official announcements from the White House or relevant government agencies
Trump Expresses Support for TikTok, Won Youth by 34 Points, Signals Review of Ban Set for January 19
Dec 16, 2024, 05:19 PM
President-elect Donald Trump expressed a favorable view of TikTok, stating, "I have a warm spot in my heart for TikTok," during a recent press interaction. He indicated that he would consider reviewing a potential ban on the app, which is set to take effect on January 19, 2024. Trump attributed part of his electoral success to TikTok, claiming he won the youth vote by 34 percentage points and suggesting that the platform played a role in engaging younger voters. His comments mark a notable shift from his previous hard-line stance against the app during his presidency, when concerns about its Chinese ownership were prevalent. The odds of a TikTok ban occurring before May 2024 have reportedly decreased to 38% following his remarks, reflecting a potential change in policy direction under his administration.
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Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
TikTok divested • 34%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
TikTok banned • 33%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Partial ruling • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Extension granted • 25%
Extension denied • 25%
No decision • 25%
Partial extension granted • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban paused • 33%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Ban Overturned • 33%
No action • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%