Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's 50% US ownership proposal by Dec 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Joint venture established • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
Proposal modified • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Official statements from TikTok and the US government
Story
Trump Proposes 50% US Ownership in TikTok Joint Venture, Plans Executive Order for National Security
Jan 19, 2025, 09:26 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has proposed that the United States should have a 50% ownership stake in a joint venture with TikTok. This proposal comes as a response to a law that led to a brief shutdown of the app in the U.S. over national security concerns. Trump stated that this move would save TikTok, keep it in good hands, and allow it to continue operating. He plans to issue an executive order on Monday to extend the period before the law's prohibitions take effect, aiming to protect national security while keeping TikTok accessible to its 170 million American users.
View original story
Similar markets
Modified terms • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Approved sale to another group • 25%
Approved sale to MrBeast's group • 25%
No sale approved • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. minority ownership • 25%
U.S. majority ownership • 25%
No U.S. ownership • 25%
No Deal Reached • 25%
Majority U.S. Ownership • 25%
50-50 Joint Ownership • 25%
Majority Chinese Ownership • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Oracle acquires • 25%
U.S. investors group acquires • 25%
ByteDance retains majority • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned by U.S. government • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Retained by ByteDance • 25%