Market
How will US national security concerns about TikTok be resolved by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Concerns resolved with new policy • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
US government statements and policy changes
Story
Trump Proposes 50% US Ownership in TikTok Joint Venture, Plans Executive Order for National Security
Jan 19, 2025, 09:26 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has proposed that the United States should have a 50% ownership stake in a joint venture with TikTok. This proposal comes as a response to a law that led to a brief shutdown of the app in the U.S. over national security concerns. Trump stated that this move would save TikTok, keep it in good hands, and allow it to continue operating. He plans to issue an executive order on Monday to extend the period before the law's prohibitions take effect, aiming to protect national security while keeping TikTok accessible to its 170 million American users.
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Other resolution • 25%
TikTok implements security changes • 25%
Ban is enacted • 25%
Acquisition resolves concerns • 25%
Resolved with new ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Resolved with security measures • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Concerns partially resolved • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns remain unresolved • 25%
Concerns fully resolved • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok implements security measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Concerns Unresolved • 25%
Sale to U.S. Entity • 25%
Concerns Resolved • 25%
Nationwide ban • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued operation under ByteDance • 25%
Acquisition by U.S. entity • 25%
Concerns resolved with TikTok allowed to operate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Concerns unresolved with TikTok restricted • 25%
Concerns unresolved with TikTok banned • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
No Changes Made • 25%
Partial Measures • 25%
Security Measures Implemented • 25%