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What will be the resolution of TikTok's U.S. ownership structure by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. majority ownership • 25%
U.S. minority ownership • 25%
No U.S. ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or involved companies
Story
Trump to Issue Executive Order Delaying TikTok Ban, Proposes 50% U.S. Ownership
Jan 19, 2025, 04:00 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to issue an executive order on Monday to delay the U.S. ban on TikTok, which went into effect at midnight. TikTok, owned by China's ByteDance, became inaccessible to U.S. users due to the ban. Trump is urging tech companies not to let the popular video-sharing app remain inaccessible and proposes a joint venture with current or new owners, in which the United States would hold a 50% ownership stake. The executive order would extend the period before the law's prohibitions take effect, allowing more time for a deal that addresses national security concerns. Trump assured that companies assisting TikTok would not face liability before the order is issued.
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Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Joint U.S.-Chinese ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Joint Ownership • 34%
Remains ByteDance Owned • 33%
Sold to U.S. Company • 33%
International consortium • 25%
US-based company • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain under ByteDance • 25%
Joint ownership • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Retained by ByteDance • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. Company • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint Venture • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
Ban is lifted without sale • 25%
Ban is lifted following sale • 25%
Ban is indefinitely postponed • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
Joint venture established • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
Proposal modified • 25%