Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. proposal for a 50% TikTok stake by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified terms • 25%
No decision • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or TikTok
Story
Trump Proposes 50% U.S. Stake in TikTok Joint Venture, Says App Worthless Without Approval
Jan 21, 2025, 01:04 AM
President Donald Trump has proposed that the United States take a 50% ownership stake in TikTok as part of a joint venture, allowing the popular social media platform to continue operating in the country. Trump stated that "TikTok is worthless if I don't approve it," emphasizing that without U.S. approval, the app would have to shut down. He added that "the approval gives it value," potentially making TikTok worth "a trillion dollars." Trump suggested that the U.S. should be "entitled to 50% as a country," and that the government could "police it a little bit or a lot." Reporters questioned how the U.S. would acquire this stake, to which Trump responded that the U.S. would be paid half of the value of TikTok for allowing it to continue operations. TikTok reportedly expressed gratitude for the announcement and indicated plans to restore service in the U.S.
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No decision by deadline • 25%
Joint venture established • 25%
Proposal modified • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
Approved sale to MrBeast's group • 25%
Approved sale to another group • 25%
No sale approved • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority Chinese Ownership • 25%
Majority U.S. Ownership • 25%
50-50 Joint Ownership • 25%
No Deal Reached • 25%
No stake acquired • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
50% stake acquired • 25%
Less than 50% stake acquired • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
ByteDance finds approved buyer • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
50% U.S. ownership in joint venture • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Other • 25%