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What will be the outcome of the NATO foreign ministers' meeting regarding Ukraine by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Support for immediate membership • 25%
Support for future membership • 25%
No change in status • 25%
New security guarantees proposed • 25%
NATO meeting communiqués or press releases
Story
Ukraine Declares Full NATO Membership Only Guarantee of Security Ahead of 30th Anniversary of Budapest Memorandum
Dec 3, 2024, 08:13 AM
Ukraine's Foreign Ministry has officially stated that full NATO membership is the only viable guarantee of security against Russian aggression. This declaration comes as Ukraine rejects any alternative security guarantees, emphasizing its commitment to NATO integration. The statement coincides with the 30th anniversary of the signing of the Budapest Memorandum, which Ukraine cites as a cautionary example of inadequate security assurances. The Ukrainian government asserts that past experiences have shaped its stance, and it will not accept substitutes for NATO membership as a means of security. This position was reiterated ahead of a NATO foreign ministers' meeting, highlighting Ukraine's ongoing efforts to solidify its defense capabilities amid the ongoing conflict with Russia.
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Ukraine offered a pathway to membership • 25%
No change in Ukraine's status • 25%
NATO membership talks initiated • 25%
Ukraine admitted to NATO • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Deployment of troops • 25%
Other • 25%
No major action • 25%
Decreased aid and support • 25%
Increased aid and support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Withdraws membership request • 25%
Receives alternative guarantees • 25%
Achieves NATO membership • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal NATO invitation extended • 25%
Commitment to future invitation • 25%
No change in NATO status • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Invitation granted • 25%
Other • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%
Invitation denied • 25%
Support Ukraine's membership • 25%
Propose alternative security measures • 25%
Oppose Ukraine's membership • 25%
No clear position • 25%