Market
What will be the outcome of Ukraine's push for NATO membership by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Membership granted • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Official NATO announcements or Ukrainian government statements
Story
NATO Chief Rutte Urges More Military Aid for Ukraine Amidst Russian Aggression at Foreign Ministers Meeting
Dec 3, 2024, 09:52 AM
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has emphasized the need for increased military support for Ukraine as it enters a crucial winter, with no signs of abating Russian aggression. Speaking ahead of a two-day meeting of NATO foreign ministers in Brussels, Rutte highlighted that Ukraine requires more weapons rather than new ideas for peace negotiations. He stated that NATO's focus should be on ensuring Ukraine enters peace talks from a position of strength, rather than discussing its potential membership in the alliance. Rutte also accused Russia of using Ukraine as a testing ground for experimental missiles, underscoring the ongoing conflict's severity. This comes as Ukraine is expected to push for NATO membership during the ministerial meeting, although the alliance's current stance is to prioritize military aid over membership discussions.
View original story
Similar markets
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Withdraws membership request • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Achieves NATO membership • 25%
Receives alternative guarantees • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
NATO accelerates membership • 25%
NATO withdraws offer • 25%
NATO delays membership • 25%
NATO maintains current stance • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%
Invitation granted • 25%
Invitation denied • 25%
Other • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Other status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Pending • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
No change • 25%