Market
What level of integration will Ukraine have in NATO military exercises by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full integration • 25%
Partial integration • 25%
Observer status only • 25%
No participation • 25%
NATO or Ukrainian government announcements regarding military exercises
Story
Ukraine Declares Full NATO Membership Only Guarantee of Security Ahead of 30th Anniversary of Budapest Memorandum
Dec 3, 2024, 08:13 AM
Ukraine's Foreign Ministry has officially stated that full NATO membership is the only viable guarantee of security against Russian aggression. This declaration comes as Ukraine rejects any alternative security guarantees, emphasizing its commitment to NATO integration. The statement coincides with the 30th anniversary of the signing of the Budapest Memorandum, which Ukraine cites as a cautionary example of inadequate security assurances. The Ukrainian government asserts that past experiences have shaped its stance, and it will not accept substitutes for NATO membership as a means of security. This position was reiterated ahead of a NATO foreign ministers' meeting, highlighting Ukraine's ongoing efforts to solidify its defense capabilities amid the ongoing conflict with Russia.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Direct military support • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Diplomatic support only • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority support with consensus • 25%
Minority support • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Majority support but no consensus • 25%
Other status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Increased slightly • 25%
Decreased • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Full EU membership • 25%
NATO membership • 25%
Partnership agreements only • 25%
Low Support • 34%
Moderate Support • 33%
High Support • 33%
Moderate involvement • 25%
Low involvement • 25%
No involvement • 25%
High involvement • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership postponed • 25%
Process ongoing • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
