Market
What will be the outcome of the impeachment threat against President Yoon Suk-yeol by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resignation • 25%
Impeachment initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
South Korean National Assembly records or credible news outlets
Story
South Korea's Opposition Leader Lee Jae-myung Demands President Yoon Suk-yeol's Resignation, Threatens Impeachment Proceedings
Dec 4, 2024, 12:44 AM
South Korea's main opposition party, the Democratic Party, has formally demanded the resignation of President Yoon Suk-yeol. The party, led by Lee Jae-myung, announced that it will initiate impeachment proceedings if the president does not step down. This announcement follows President Yoon's declaration of a state of emergency on the night of December 3, which the opposition criticized as an affront to democracy and an insult to the public. The Democratic Party stated that they would proceed with the impeachment process if their demands are not met, emphasizing the gravity of the situation in the political landscape of South Korea.
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Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Other • 25%
Resigns before decision • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Impeachment motion withdrawn • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Vote Cancelled • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Motion Withdrawn • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Motion Fails • 25%
Impeachment Motion Passes • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Case postponed • 34%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Partial ruling • 34%
Removed from office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%