Market
What will be the outcome of the impeachment motion against President Yoon by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Official announcement by the South Korean National Assembly or major news outlets
Story
South Korea's Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun Resigns After Six-Hour Martial Law Imposed by President Yoon
Dec 4, 2024, 09:54 AM
South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun has offered his resignation and apologized to citizens following the controversial imposition of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol. Kim admitted responsibility for influencing the decision to declare martial law, which was in effect for only six hours before being lifted by a parliamentary vote. He stated, 'I take full responsibility for all situations related to martial law.' Other cabinet members have also offered their collective resignations amid the turmoil, though President Yoon has not yet accepted them. The opposition has initiated impeachment motions against both President Yoon and Minister Kim, heightening the political crisis in the country.
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Impeachment Passed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Partial ruling • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Not impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passed • 25%
No Vote • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment fails • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns before impeachment • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%