Market
What will be the outcome of President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment process by May 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%
Official announcement by South Korea's Constitutional Court
Story
South Korea's Constitutional Court Begins Impeachment Process for President Yoon Suk-yeol Over Failed Martial Law Attempt on December 3, Decision Expected by December 27
Dec 16, 2024, 02:22 AM
South Korea's Constitutional Court has commenced proceedings to deliberate the impeachment of President Yoon Suk-yeol, following a parliamentary vote that deemed his attempt to impose martial law on December 3 as botched. The court's initial meeting took place on December 16, with a timeline of approximately six months to reach a decision on the impeachment. In parallel, South Korean prosecutors have summoned Yoon for questioning regarding the martial law declaration, but he did not comply with the initial summons. Prosecutors plan to issue another summon for Yoon, who faces potential charges of insurrection and abuse of power. The opposition has urged the court to act swiftly in the impeachment process, emphasizing the need to alleviate public distress caused by Yoon's actions.
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Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Other • 25%
Resigns before decision • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeachment motion withdrawn • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Impeachment initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
Proceedings unresolved • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Conviction and removal • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%