Market
What will be the outcome of the impeachment vote against President Yoon Suk Yeol by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Vote Cancelled • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcement from South Korea's National Assembly or major news outlets
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Faces Impeachment Vote After Martial Law Attempt
Dec 11, 2024, 08:13 PM
South Korea is grappling with a significant political crisis following President Yoon Suk Yeol's brief declaration of martial law on December 3. The situation has escalated with the police attempting to raid Yoon's office as part of an investigation into his decision. The crisis has led to a surge in calls for Yoon's impeachment, with the Democratic Party pushing for his removal from office. Amidst this turmoil, former Defense Minister Kim Yong Hyun, who was detained in connection with the martial law declaration, attempted suicide in prison. The political instability has sparked protests in Seoul demanding Yoon's ouster, and North Korean state media has begun covering the situation, focusing on the protests against Yoon. An impeachment vote is looming, and the police raid on Yoon's office adds to the mounting pressure on the president. The crisis has also drawn international attention, with some observers noting parallels to past authoritarian regimes in the region.
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Similar markets
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Tied or inconclusive result • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fails with less than 200 votes • 25%
Passes with required 200 votes • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Motion Withdrawn • 25%
Impeachment Motion Passes • 25%
Impeachment Motion Fails • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached • 33%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment fails • 33%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Impeachment passed • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment failed • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Vote Delayed • 34%