Market
What will be the outcome of President Yoon's impeachment ruling by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official ruling from South Korea's Constitutional Court
Story
South Korea's Opposition-Led Parliament Impeaches President Yoon Over Brief Martial Law Declaration
Dec 14, 2024, 08:12 AM
South Korea's opposition-led parliament voted on Saturday to impeach President Yoon Suk Yeol following his brief imposition of martial law earlier this month. The National Assembly passed the impeachment motion, with some lawmakers from the ruling People Power Party joining the opposition in support of his removal. The president's short-lived martial law declaration less than two weeks ago shocked the nation and plunged the key U.S. ally into political turmoil.
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Other outcome • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
Case postponed • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Decision delayed • 34%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Trial Extended • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Not Impeached • 33%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Other resolution • 34%
Reinstated • 33%
Removed from office • 33%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%