Market
What will be the outcome of the impeachment process against President Yoon by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean National Assembly or Constitutional Court
Story
South Korea's Opposition Submits Impeachment Motion Against President Yoon, Vote Scheduled
Dec 4, 2024, 09:28 AM
South Korea's opposition parties have submitted a motion to impeach President Yoon Suk Yeol following his brief imposition of martial law, which was swiftly rescinded after drawing troops to encircle parliament. The move to impeach Yoon comes in the wake of a political crisis, with lawmakers from six opposition parties signing the impeachment motion. This unprecedented action was prompted by Yoon's declaration of martial law on Tuesday, which he reversed hours later, leading to widespread protests and a unanimous vote by parliament to lift the order. The opposition's impeachment motion, signed by 190 opposition lawmakers and one independent, reflects the significant political turmoil and the public's reaction to the martial law decree. An impeachment vote in parliament could take place as early as Friday or Saturday, while a general strike has been launched demanding Yoon's resignation.
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Similar markets
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Case postponed • 34%
Partial ruling • 34%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns before impeachment • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Impeachment fails • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment initiated • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%