Market
What will be the outcome of Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment proceedings by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Removed from office • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Resigns before decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcement from the South Korean Constitutional Court
Story
South Korea's Anti-Corruption Agency Seeks Police Help to Detain Impeached Yoon Before Arrest Warrant Expires
Jan 6, 2025, 02:08 AM
South Korea's anti-corruption agency has requested police to take over efforts to detain impeached President Yoon Suk-yeol after a failed attempt by investigators last week. The arrest warrant, issued by the Seoul Western District Court on December 31, 2024, is set to expire on January 6, 2025. The Corruption Investigation Office for High-ranking Officials (CIO) plans to seek an extension of the warrant. The initial detention attempt faced resistance from the presidential security service, resulting in an hours-long standoff. Yoon, who was impeached on December 14, 2024, is under investigation for rebellion charges after declaring martial law on December 3, 2024, and deploying troops to surround the National Assembly. The martial law was revoked hours later. Protests have been held near Yoon's residence, and barbed wire has been installed at the site in preparation for another detention attempt. The impeachment has suspended his presidential powers, and the Constitutional Court is deliberating whether to remove him from office or reinstate him.
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Resignation • 25%
Conviction and removal • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Proceedings unresolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
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Process ongoing • 25%
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Impeachment upheld • 33%
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Court extends decision period • 34%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Trial delayed • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted and removed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
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Ongoing • 25%
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Impeachment overturned • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
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Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Resignation before decision • 25%
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Impeached but not removed • 25%
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Impeachment motion withdrawn • 25%
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Trial extended • 34%
Convicted • 25%
Reinstated • 33%
Permanently removed • 33%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%