Market
Outcome of Impeachment Proceedings Against President Yoon by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resigns before impeachment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcement from the South Korean National Assembly or major news outlets
Story
South Korean President Yoon Faces Impeachment for Treason After Eight-Hour Martial Law
Dec 4, 2024, 03:12 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol briefly imposed martial law for eight hours, shocking the nation before rescinding the decision. Yoon justified the drastic measure as necessary to protect the country from 'communist forces' amid parliamentary wrangling over a budget bill. The opposition party is now seeking to impeach him, accusing him of treason and rebellion and urging him to resign or face impeachment. Lawmakers from both the ruling and opposition parties applauded when the resolution to revoke the emergency martial law was passed in the early hours of Wednesday. The unexpected move has triggered the biggest political crisis South Korea has faced in decades, with angry citizens rallying against Yoon's actions. In response to the turmoil, the Bank of Korea pledged to take steps to stabilize financial markets.
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Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Impeachment fails • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Partial ruling • 34%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Reinstated • 33%
Removed from office • 33%
Other resolution • 34%
