What will be the outcome of the first phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement?
Ceasefire holds and hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire holds but hostages not released • 25%
Ceasefire breaks but hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire breaks and hostages not released • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies such as BBC, CNN, or Al Jazeera
Israel and Hamas Agree to Ceasefire and Hostage Deal, Implementation Expected This Weekend
Jan 14, 2025, 07:24 PM
Israel and Hamas have reached an agreement in principle on a draft deal for a ceasefire in Gaza and the release of hostages, according to CBS News. Arab, U.S., and Israeli officials have indicated that if finalized, the deal could see implementation begin this weekend. The agreement comes during the final days of President Biden's presidency, with incoming President-elect Donald Trump set to oversee its implementation. The first phase of the deal includes a 42-day ceasefire period during which Hamas would release 33 women and children hostages, as well as hostages over 50 years old, in exchange for Israel releasing 30 Palestinian women and children prisoners, and 30 Palestinian prisoners aged 50 or older. Subsequent phases would involve the release of all Israeli male hostages, the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza, and the exchange of bodies of deceased hostages and prisoners, alongside the beginning of Gaza's reconstruction and the opening of its borders. U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan expressed optimism about the deal's progress. Key figures involved in the negotiations include Biden's top Mideast adviser Brett McGurk, Trump's special Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, the Qatari Prime Minister, and Mossad Director David Barnea.
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No exchange • 25%
Partial exchange • 25%
Complete exchange • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All hostages returned • 25%
Partial hostage return • 25%
No hostages returned • 25%
Ceasefire not implemented • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Exchange fails • 25%
Partial exchange • 25%
Complete exchange as planned • 25%
Partial implementation with issues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapses • 25%
Ceasefire commences successfully • 25%
Ceasefire delayed but commences • 25%
Negotiations fail • 25%
Successful prisoner exchange • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Security guarantees achieved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial agreement with modifications • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
60-day ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire extended beyond six weeks • 25%
Ceasefire successfully completed • 25%
Ceasefire ended early due to violations • 25%
Ceasefire collapsed, conflict resumed • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Extension of ceasefire • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Hamas removed, war ends • 25%
Hamas remains, war ends • 25%
Hamas removed, war continues • 25%
Hamas remains, war continues • 25%
No change in hostilities • 25%
Complete cessation of hostilities • 25%
Partial reduction in hostilities • 25%
Increase in hostilities • 25%
Minor violations occur • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Ceasefire holds without violations • 25%
Major violations occur • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Reconstruction and border opening • 25%
Initial ceasefire and hostage exchange • 25%
Withdrawal of Israeli forces • 25%
Exchange of bodies • 25%