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What will be the outcome of the EU investigation into TikTok by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No violation found • 25%
Violation found but no fine • 25%
Violation found with fine • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Official report or statement from the European Commission
Story
EU Probes TikTok for Russian Interference in Romania's Annulled Election
Dec 17, 2024, 12:43 PM
The European Union has launched a formal investigation into TikTok over its suspected role in foreign interference in Romania's annulled presidential election. The European Commission suspects that TikTok breached the Digital Services Act by failing to adequately mitigate risks linked to election integrity. This includes allegations that the platform did not prevent foreign actors, potentially from Russia, from influencing the election outcome. The investigation follows the surprising first-round victory of independent candidate Georgescu, who is described as pro-Russia and anti-NATO/EU. Allegations also include manipulation of TikTok's algorithms and undisclosed paid promotions by influencers. If found in violation, TikTok could face significant fines, potentially up to 6% of its global turnover.
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Warning Issued • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Fines Imposed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
TikTok required to make policy changes • 25%
Evidence of interference • 25%
Major compliance issues • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
No issues found • 25%
TikTok receives warning • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Minor breach with warning • 25%
Major breach with penalties • 25%
No breach found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
Guilty of Manipulation • 25%
Not Guilty of Manipulation • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Ban in EU • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
No action taken • 25%