Market
What will be the outcome of the EU investigation into TikTok's Romanian election manipulation by end of 2025?
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Elon Musk•Thierry Breton•EU•Europe•Breton•Musk•German•AfD•European•Romania•Brussels•Digital Services Act•Mark Zuckerberg•Meta•TikTok•Romanian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Guilty of Manipulation • 25%
Not Guilty of Manipulation • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Official EU investigation reports or announcements
Story
Elon Musk Escalates Feud with Thierry Breton, Criticizes EU Regulations and TikTok Investigation
Jan 11, 2025, 01:33 PM
Elon Musk has escalated a public dispute with Thierry Breton, the former EU digital commissioner, by calling him a "tyrant of Europe" on the social media platform X. This exchange follows Breton's criticism of Musk's support for the far-right German political party AfD in December and his accusations of foreign interference in European politics. Breton dismissed Musk's comments as "fake news" and defended the EU's regulatory actions. The conflict intensified after Breton suggested in a recent interview that EU laws must be enforced to prevent circumvention, referencing actions taken during elections in Romania. Musk, a vocal critic of EU digital regulations, has accused Brussels of censorship and faces potential fines of up to 6% of his global revenue for alleged violations of the Digital Services Act. Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Meta, has aligned with Musk's stance on EU regulations. Additionally, the EU has launched an investigation into TikTok for potential manipulation in Romanian elections.
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Similar markets
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
Violation found with fine • 25%
Violation found but no fine • 25%
No violation found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 34%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 33%
TikTok found culpable • 33%
TikTok required to make policy changes • 25%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Warning Issued • 25%
Fines Imposed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Evidence of interference • 25%
Major compliance issues • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
No issues found • 25%
TikTok receives warning • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No breach found • 25%
Minor breach with warning • 25%
Major breach with penalties • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Successful collaboration • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No collaboration • 25%