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What will be the international response to the EU's findings on TikTok by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Statements from international bodies or governments
Story
EU Investigates TikTok Under DSA for Russian Interference in Romania's Cancelled Presidential Election
Dec 17, 2024, 11:32 AM
The European Commission has launched a formal investigation into TikTok over allegations of Russian interference in Romania's presidential election, which led to the cancellation of the second round. Independent candidate Călin Georgescu, considered pro-Russian, unexpectedly won the first round, raising concerns about an orchestrated disinformation campaign on TikTok. The investigation centers on suspected breaches of the Digital Services Act (DSA), specifically TikTok's obligation to assess and mitigate systemic risks linked to election integrity. This marks the first time TikTok is being investigated under the DSA for election interference, posing a significant test for the EU's new social media regulation rules.
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No issues found • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
Evidence of interference • 25%
Major compliance issues • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Warning Issued • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Fines Imposed • 25%
Ban in EU • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Violation found but no fine • 25%
Violation found with fine • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No violation found • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok receives warning • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
TikTok required to make policy changes • 25%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
No changes • 25%
Ban from EU market • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%