Market
What will be the outcome of the EU's investigation into TikTok by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No Action Taken • 25%
Warning Issued • 25%
Fines Imposed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
European Union official announcements and reports
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban to Supreme Court Amid Global Scrutiny and EU Probe
Dec 22, 2024, 06:49 AM
TikTok faces an imminent ban in the United States, set to take effect on January 19, unless its parent company ByteDance divests from its U.S. operations. The platform, which boasts one billion users globally, has been embroiled in controversies worldwide, including allegations of espionage in the U.S. and suspected foreign interference in Romania's presidential election. In response to the potential ban, TikTok has appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that the ban represents a significant infringement on free speech. The case is set to be heard on January 10. Meanwhile, the European Union has initiated an investigation into TikTok's recommendation systems and political content management, with potential fines up to 6% of its annual turnover if violations are found. The platform's future remains uncertain as it navigates these legal and regulatory challenges.
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Violation found but no fine • 25%
Violation found with fine • 25%
No violation found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
TikTok required to make policy changes • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Major compliance issues • 25%
Evidence of interference • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
No issues found • 25%
TikTok receives warning • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
Major breach with penalties • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No breach found • 25%
Minor breach with warning • 25%
Not Guilty of Manipulation • 25%
Guilty of Manipulation • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
No changes • 25%
Ban from EU market • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Ban in EU • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%