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What will be the outcome of Syria's foreign relations with Lebanon by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Analysis from international relations experts and news reports
Story
Syria's Ahmed al-Sharaa Vows No Negative Interference in Lebanon After Assad's Ouster
Dec 22, 2024, 11:32 AM
Syria's new leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, has pledged that his country will not engage in negative interference in Lebanon. During a meeting with Lebanese Druze leaders Walid and Taymour Jumblatt on Sunday, Sharaa emphasized that Syria would respect Lebanon's sovereignty, territorial integrity, and security. He stated that Syria would maintain an equal distance from all parties in Lebanon, acknowledging past fears and anxieties Syria has caused in the country. This commitment comes as part of broader efforts to normalize relations with neighboring countries following the overthrow of former President Bashar al-Assad by Sharaa's group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), earlier this month.
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Relations fluctuate • 25%
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Iran maintains current stance • 25%
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