Market
How will Lebanon's relations with Israel and Syria change by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Improved relations with Syria • 25%
Improved relations with both • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official government announcements or reports from major international news outlets
Story
Israeli Foreign Minister Congratulates Joseph Aoun on Election as Lebanon's President After Over Two Years of Crisis
Jan 9, 2025, 01:32 PM
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar has congratulated Joseph Aoun on his election as Lebanon's president following a prolonged political crisis that lasted over two years. In his statement, Sa'ar expressed hope that Aoun's presidency would contribute to stability, a better future for Lebanon and its residents, and foster good neighborly relations between Israel and Lebanon, which are currently in an official state of war. Sa'ar emphasized that the stability of Lebanon is a priority for the entire region, and he hopes the recent ceasefire agreement could evolve into a formal peace treaty between the two nations.
View original story
Similar markets
Relations fluctuate • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Tense but stable relations • 25%
Escalating tensions • 25%
Peaceful relations • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued non-engagement • 25%
Diplomatic relations established • 25%
Increased tensions or conflict • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
No official stance taken • 25%
Increased hostility towards Israel • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Normal relations • 25%
Escalation into further conflict • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resolution and return to normalcy • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%