Market
What will be the outcome of Syria-US relations by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis from international relations experts or reports from recognized news outlets
Story
Syria's New Leader Ahmed al-Sharaa Congratulates Trump, Calls for Partnership to Bring Middle East Peace
Jan 20, 2025, 09:38 PM
Ahmed al-Sharaa, also known as Abu Muhammad al-Julani, the new leader of Syria, has extended congratulations to US President Donald Trump on his inauguration, expressing hopes for improved relations between the two countries based on dialogue. In a statement released on Monday, al-Sharaa emphasized his confidence in Trump's ability to bring peace to the Middle East and restore stability to the region. "We are confident that Trump is the leader who can bring peace to the Middle East and restore stability to the region," al-Sharaa said. He called for creating a partnership between Syria and the United States.
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Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Less supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
More supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
No change • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Failed transition • 25%
Successful transition • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. Forces • 25%
Continued Chaos • 25%
Increased Stability • 25%
Strengthened U.S. Presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Further isolated • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Relations weakened • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Reduction to core 900 troops • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Complete Rebel Victory • 25%
Other • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Partial Rebel Control • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
New government established • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Government retains power • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Government Regains Control • 25%
Opposition victory • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Government regains full control • 25%
Significant gains by opposition • 25%