Market
Will Ukraine's leadership face targeted retaliation from Russia by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from reputable international news agencies confirming retaliation actions
Story
Medvedev Promises Retaliation for Assassination of Russia's Nuclear Troops Chief Kirillov
Dec 17, 2024, 01:02 PM
Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, has vowed retaliation against Ukraine's leadership following the assassination of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, head of Russia's Nuclear, Biological and Chemical Protection Troops. Kirillov and his aide were killed in an explosion in Moscow, caused by a bomb hidden in an electric scooter, which Russian authorities have described as a terrorist act. Medvedev accused Ukraine of carrying out cowardly and unacceptable strikes on peaceful cities, and warned that the military and political leadership of Ukraine would face imminent punishment for Kirillov's death.
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Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Missile attack on Kyiv • 25%
Increased cyber attacks • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Increased airstrikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Deployment of additional ground troops • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Economic measures • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
