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What will be the outcome of Iraq's efforts to disarm Iran-backed militias by end of 2025?
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Iraq•Fuad Hussein•Middle East•Iran•Gaza•Lebanon•Syria•Hussein•United States•Trump•Washington•ISIS•Syrian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete disarmament • 25%
Partial disarmament • 25%
Integration into security forces • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements from the Iraqi government or credible news agencies
Story
Iraq Urges Iran-Backed Militias to Disarm, Seeks Good Relations with US Under Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 03:56 PM
Iraq is attempting to persuade Iran-aligned armed factions within its borders to disarm or integrate into the country's official security forces, according to Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein. This initiative comes amidst significant shifts in the Middle East, including the weakening of Iran's allies in Gaza and Lebanon and the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's government in Syria. Hussein emphasized that the presence of weapons outside state control is unacceptable and expressed hope that these groups would lay down their arms and join the government-controlled forces. The move is part of Iraq's effort to balance its relations with both the United States and Iran, especially with the incoming Trump administration. Hussein noted that while Iraq aims to maintain good relations with Washington, it is too early to predict Trump's policy towards Iraq or Iran. Additionally, Iraq is concerned about the resurgence of ISIS in Syria and is in talks with the new Syrian government to ensure stability and inclusivity in the political process.
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Major violations reported • 25%
Agreement completely breaks down • 25%
Minor violations reported • 25%
Agreement holds without violations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Decisive victory for Syrian government • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Rebel forces gain ground • 25%
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
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Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
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No • 50%
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Increased cooperation with international community • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Strengthening ties with Iran • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Troops remain • 25%
Troops increased • 25%
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Stricter enforcement • 25%
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Increased influence • 25%
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Successful reduction • 25%