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What will be the outcome of nuclear negotiations with Iran by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Official announcements from involved countries or the United Nations
Story
Britain, France, and Germany Ready to Trigger 'Snap Back' Sanctions on Iran Following December 6 Letter to UN
Dec 11, 2024, 11:33 PM
Britain, France, and Germany have informed the United Nations Security Council of their readiness to activate a 'snap back' mechanism to reinstate all international sanctions on Iran. This action aims to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. The announcement was made in a letter dated December 6, where the three European nations emphasized the need for Iran to reduce its nuclear activities and create a conducive political environment for effective negotiations. The decision reflects the ongoing concerns regarding Iran's nuclear ambitions and the potential implications for regional and global security.
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Other outcome • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
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Talks initiated • 25%
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New nuclear agreement • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Iran • 25%
Iran complies with nuclear deal terms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military intervention occurs • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
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Other • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Comprehensive agreement • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Negotiations with no agreement • 25%
US conducts military strike • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Iran develops nuclear weapon • 25%
Snapback sanctions reimposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
New diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
New agreement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Return to JCPoA • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Talks continue without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%