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What will be the outcome of the Syrian army's collapse in northeast Syria by June 30, 2025?
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Syrian army•Syria•Israeli•Israeli Cabinet•Israel•Netanyahu•Syrian•Assad•Washington•Islamic•Iran•Hezbollah
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rebels gain control over northeast Syria • 25%
Syrian army regains control • 25%
Stalemate between rebels and Syrian army • 25%
Foreign intervention changes control dynamics • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Intelligence Identifies Rapid Collapse of Syrian Army's Defense Lines in Northeast Syria
Dec 5, 2024, 06:46 PM
Israeli intelligence officials have identified an unexpectedly rapid collapse of the Syrian army's defensive lines in battles with rebels in northeast Syria over the past 24 hours, according to two senior Israeli officials. This development has prompted an emergency discussion by the Israeli Cabinet on the situation in Syria, with concerns that rebels might seize weapons and pose threats to Israel. Prime Minister Netanyahu is currently holding discussions with security officials regarding these developments. The collapse of Syrian defenses is seen as a significant challenge to the Assad regime, the most severe in a decade, although a U.S. official stated that the Assad regime is not in immediate danger. Israel has expressed concerns to Washington about the potential for extremist Islamic elements to take control of Syria and has warned Iran against sending forces or transferring weapons that could reach Syria and Hezbollah.
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No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Opposition captures other major cities but not Damascus • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Opposition fails to capture any major cities • 25%
Opposition captures Damascus • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
International intervention leads to new governance • 25%
International intervention leads to resolution • 25%
Rebels establish new government • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Rebel forces take control • 25%
Assad Regime remains in power • 25%
Government retains control of Damascus • 25%
Stalemate with no decisive control • 25%
Rebels encircle but do not capture Damascus • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Complete control • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Opposition gains significant ground • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Regime maintains current positions • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Granted asylum in Iraq • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Full control and recognized government • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Regime reestablished • 25%