Market
What will be the main reason for service members not seeking reinstatement by the end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Personal choice • 25%
Career change • 25%
Lack of trust in military leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Surveys or interviews with discharged service members reported by news outlets
Story
Trump to Sign Order Reinstating 8,400 Service Members With Back Pay and Prior Rank
Jan 27, 2025, 11:43 AM
President Donald Trump is set to sign an executive order to reinstate over 8,400 service members who were discharged from the military for refusing the COVID-19 vaccine. The order will allow these service members to request reinstatement, restore them to their prior rank, and provide them with back pay and benefits, as well as apologies. The move fulfills a campaign promise made by Trump, who criticized the Biden administration's vaccine mandate that led to the dismissal of these troops between 2021 and 2023. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has supported this initiative. Only 43 of the discharged troops had sought to rejoin under the previous administration after the mandate was repealed in 2023.
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Similar markets
Disagreement with policy • 25%
Personal choice • 25%
Other • 25%
Career change • 25%
2,000 to 3,999 • 25%
500 to 1,999 • 25%
4,000 and above • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved readiness • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Improved readiness • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Air Force • 25%
Navy • 25%
Marines • 25%
Army • 25%
8,000 and above • 25%
2,000 to 4,999 • 25%
Less than 2,000 • 25%
5,000 to 7,999 • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Data Not Available • 25%
Increase • 25%
