Market
How many service members will refuse reinstatement by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 1,999 • 25%
2,000 to 3,999 • 25%
4,000 and above • 25%
Department of Defense personnel records or official announcements.
Story
Trump to Sign Executive Order Reinstating Over 8,400 Service Members With Back Pay, Reversing Biden's Vaccine Mandate
Jan 27, 2025, 12:59 PM
President Donald Trump is set to sign an executive order on Monday to reinstate over 8,400 service members who were discharged from the U.S. military for refusing the COVID-19 vaccine under Biden's mandate. The order will direct the Secretary of Defense to restore these service members to their previous rank and provide them with full back pay and benefits. This move fulfills a campaign promise made by Trump in 2024 to reinstate those dismissed under the Biden administration's vaccine mandate, which was in effect from 2021 to 2023. Only 43 of the discharged service members had returned to service after the mandate was repealed in 2023. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has also pledged support for this initiative, emphasizing the restoration of rank and back pay for the affected troops.
View original story
Similar markets
8,000 or more • 25%
4,000 to 7,999 • 25%
1,000 to 3,999 • 25%
Less than 1,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 • 25%
20,001 to 30,000 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Personal choice • 25%
Other • 25%
Lack of trust in military leadership • 25%
Career change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%