Market
How will troop reinstatement affect military recruitment in 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Data Not Available • 25%
Official recruitment statistics from the Department of Defense
Story
Trump to Reinstate 8,400 Troops Discharged Over Vaccine Refusal with Full Back Pay
Jan 27, 2025, 05:00 PM
President Donald Trump is set to sign an executive order reinstating over 8,400 military service members who were discharged for refusing the COVID-19 vaccine, restoring their rank, full back pay, and benefits. "Unjustly expelled service members will return," Trump stated. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth supports the order and expects it to be implemented swiftly. The reinstatement fulfills a campaign promise and aims to address the impact of previous vaccine mandates on military personnel.
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Similar markets
Unclear impact • 25%
Improved readiness • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
More than 50,000 • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 30,000 • 25%
30,001 to 50,000 • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Decrease in Recruitment • 25%
Increase in Recruitment • 25%
Data Unavailable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
Improved readiness • 25%
Q3 2025 • 25%
Q4 2025 • 25%
Q1 2025 • 25%
Q2 2025 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No troops reinstated • 25%
All eligible troops reinstated • 25%
Majority of eligible troops reinstated • 25%
Minority of eligible troops reinstated • 25%
8,000 or more • 25%
Less than 1,000 • 25%
1,000 to 3,999 • 25%
4,000 to 7,999 • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Navy • 25%
Army • 25%
Air Force • 25%
Marines • 25%