Market
What will be the international response to China's actions in Myanmar by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
ASEAN diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Statements from international bodies like the UN, ASEAN, and reports from international news agencies
Story
China Weighs Military Intervention in Northern Myanmar to Safeguard BRI Projects
Dec 1, 2024, 08:38 AM
China is reportedly considering deploying private military contractors (PMCs) to Myanmar to protect its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) projects. This move would be a significant risk for China, given the complex geopolitical situation in Myanmar, where the military junta is facing pressure from armed groups. The deployment would be in a 'private' capacity, maintaining the fiction of detachment from official military involvement. This decision comes amidst growing concerns over the security of Chinese investments in the region, with some observers speculating on potential military intervention by China in northern Myanmar.
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Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
International praise • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic pressure increases • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
U.N. intervention • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
