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What will be the impact on PKK/KCK activities in Iraq following Mürvet Gülsever's neutralization by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Decrease in activities • 25%
Increase in activities • 25%
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Other • 25%
Reports from international monitoring agencies or major news outlets
Story
Turkey's MIT Neutralizes PKK/KCK Leader Mürvet Gülsever in Sulaymaniyah, Iraq
Dec 7, 2024, 11:10 AM
Turkey's National Intelligence Organization (MIT) has neutralized Mürvet Gülsever, a so-called leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK/KCK) women's organization PAJK, in the Iraqi city of Sulaymaniyah. Gülsever was reportedly a key figure in the PKK/KCK's female wing, known as PAJK, and was targeted in a precise operation by MIT in Iraq.
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Operation postponed • 25%
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New leader appointed • 25%
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Complete elimination • 25%
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Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other reasons for leadership change • 25%
Leadership change due to internal PKK dynamics • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership change due to Turkish pressure • 25%