Market
Will PKK/KCK retaliate against Turkey by June 2025 following Özmen's capture?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports on PKK/KCK activities
Story
Turkey's MIT Captures PKK/KCK Ringleader Serhat Özmen, Known as Yılmaz, in Syria
Dec 6, 2024, 01:05 PM
Turkey's National Intelligence Organization (MIT) has captured Serhat Özmen, a so-called ringleader of the PKK/KCK terrorist group in Syria, and brought him back to Turkey. Özmen, also known by the code name Yılmaz, was apprehended outside of Turkey as part of an operation targeting the group's intelligence structure in Syria.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Political statement • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Armed attack in Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful operation • 25%
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Current leadership consolidated • 25%
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Leadership structure remains unchanged • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%