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What will be Iran's military strategy in Syria by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Official statements from Iranian government or credible military analysis reports
Story
Iran Requests Safe Passage from Syrian Rebels for Troops Amid Shiite Protection Promise
Dec 7, 2024, 09:44 PM
Iran has reportedly requested safe passage from Syrian opposition forces for its troops to leave Syria, according to a New York Times report citing three Iranian officials. This request was made in response to a diplomatic message from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a Syrian rebel group, which promised to protect the Shiite minority, religious sites, and Shia mosques in Syria. The move comes as Iranian commanders and political officials are rapidly leaving the country, suggesting a potential shift in Iran's military strategy in the region.
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Supporting Syrian government offensives • 25%
Counteracting Israeli influence • 25%
Offensive operations against HTS • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Decreased military involvement • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Provide missile and drone support • 25%
Deploy ground forces • 25%
Increase advisors only • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Focus on missile development • 25%
Increased naval drills • 25%
Enhanced cyber capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Humanitarian aid only • 25%
Military advisors only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Full presence maintained • 25%
Partial presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Direct military engagement • 25%
Establishing resistance cells • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Withdrawal from Syria • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts for peace • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Focus on regional alliances • 25%
Withdraw from regional involvement • 25%
