Market
What will be Sarkozy's political involvement by end of 2027?
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France•Cour de Cassation•Nicolas Sarkozy•Affaire Bismuth•Sarkozy•French•Thierry Herzog•Gilbert Azibert
Resolution / Starting Odds
Elected to public office • 25%
Appointed to a political role • 25%
Active in politics without a formal role • 25%
No political involvement • 25%
Official announcements or news reports on Sarkozy's political activities
Story
France's High Court Upholds Sarkozy's Three-Year Corruption Sentence; One Year Under Electronic Monitoring
Dec 18, 2024, 01:12 PM
France's highest court, the Cour de Cassation, has definitively upheld the conviction of former President Nicolas Sarkozy for corruption and influence peddling in the 'wiretapping affair,' also known as the 'Affaire Bismuth.' In a historic ruling announced on Wednesday, December 18, 2024, at 2 p.m., Sarkozy was sentenced to three years in prison, with one year to be served under electronic monitoring at home, making him the first former French head of state to receive a custodial sentence. The court rejected all appeals filed by Sarkozy and his co-defendants, lawyer Thierry Herzog and magistrate Gilbert Azibert, confirming their guilt on charges of corruption, influence peddling, and violation of professional secrecy. As a result, Sarkozy is no longer presumed innocent in this case, and his sentencing includes three years of ineligibility from public office. His legal team has indicated an intention to appeal to the European Court of Human Rights.
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Retires from politics • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Other • 25%
Retires from Politics • 25%
Joins Political Party in Non-Elective Role • 25%
Other • 25%
Runs for Office • 25%
Other political involvement • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
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Pending Decision • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Accepted • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%
Appeal accepted • 33%