Market
Sarkozy Returns to Public Office by End of 2027?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements or Sarkozy's public statements
Story
France's Highest Court Upholds Sarkozy's Corruption Conviction; Ex-President Sentenced to One Year Under Electronic Monitoring
Dec 18, 2024, 01:51 PM
France's highest court, the Cour de Cassation, has upheld the conviction of former President Nicolas Sarkozy for corruption and influence peddling in the 'Affaire des écoutes', also known as the 'Affaire Bismuth'. Sarkozy is definitively sentenced to three years in prison—two years suspended and one year to be served under electronic monitoring—a first for a former French head of state. He is required to wear an electronic bracelet for one year instead of serving time in prison. His legal team has announced plans to appeal the decision to the European Court of Human Rights. Additionally, he is banned from holding public office for three years.
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No political involvement • 25%
Active in politics without a formal role • 25%
Appointed to a political role • 25%
Elected to public office • 25%
Other • 25%
Retires from Politics • 25%
Joins Political Party in Non-Elective Role • 25%
Runs for Office • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other political involvement • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Other • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
