Market
What will be the public opinion on Sarkozy's conviction by mid-2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support conviction • 25%
Majority oppose conviction • 25%
Opinion evenly split • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Reputable French public opinion survey, e.g., IFOP or Ipsos
Story
France's Highest Court Upholds Sarkozy's Corruption Conviction; Ex-President to Wear Electronic Bracelet
Dec 18, 2024, 04:10 PM
France's highest court, the Court of Cassation, has definitively upheld former President Nicolas Sarkozy's conviction for corruption and influence peddling in the wiretapping case, known as the 'Affaire des écoutes'. Sarkozy has been sentenced to three years in prison, with two years suspended, and must wear an electronic bracelet for one year instead of serving time in prison. This marks the first time a former French president has been sentenced to such a penalty. Sarkozy has announced plans to appeal the decision to the European Court of Human Rights.
View original story
Similar markets
Majority support sentencing • 25%
Majority oppose sentencing • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%
No clear majority opinion • 25%
Majority Oppose Conviction • 25%
Majority Support Conviction • 25%
Opinion Remains Divided • 25%
No Clear Majority • 25%
More supportive • 25%
More opposed • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority dissatisfied • 25%
Majority satisfied • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Predominantly critical • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly supportive • 25%
Divided • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Declined Performance • 25%
Improved Performance • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Party Splits • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspended sentence • 25%
Prison sentence • 25%
Fine only • 25%
Convicted and sentenced to prison • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Convicted but given a suspended sentence • 25%