Market
What will be Sarkozy's political future after serving his sentence by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retires from politics • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Other political involvement • 25%
Official announcements or media reports on Sarkozy's political activities or plans
Story
France's Highest Court Upholds Sarkozy's Corruption Conviction; Ex-President to Wear Electronic Bracelet
Dec 18, 2024, 04:10 PM
France's highest court, the Court of Cassation, has definitively upheld former President Nicolas Sarkozy's conviction for corruption and influence peddling in the wiretapping case, known as the 'Affaire des écoutes'. Sarkozy has been sentenced to three years in prison, with two years suspended, and must wear an electronic bracelet for one year instead of serving time in prison. This marks the first time a former French president has been sentenced to such a penalty. Sarkozy has announced plans to appeal the decision to the European Court of Human Rights.
View original story
Similar markets
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Other • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other • 25%
Joins Political Party in Non-Elective Role • 25%
Retires from Politics • 25%
Runs for Office • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Majority oppose sentencing • 25%
Majority support sentencing • 25%
No clear majority opinion • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%
Active in politics without a formal role • 25%
Appointed to a political role • 25%
Elected to public office • 25%
No political involvement • 25%
Fine only • 25%
Suspended sentence • 25%
Other • 25%
Prison sentence • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Divided • 25%
Fine only • 34%
Prison sentence • 33%
Suspended sentence • 33%