Market
What will be the outcome of Sarkozy's appeal to the European Court of Human Rights by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal accepted • 33%
Appeal rejected • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%
Accepted • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Pending Decision • 34%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Case sent back to French courts • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official ruling from the European Court of Human Rights
Story
France's Highest Court Upholds Sarkozy's Corruption Conviction; Ex-President to Wear Electronic Bracelet
Dec 18, 2024, 04:10 PM
France's highest court, the Court of Cassation, has definitively upheld former President Nicolas Sarkozy's conviction for corruption and influence peddling in the wiretapping case, known as the 'Affaire des écoutes'. Sarkozy has been sentenced to three years in prison, with two years suspended, and must wear an electronic bracelet for one year instead of serving time in prison. This marks the first time a former French president has been sentenced to such a penalty. Sarkozy has announced plans to appeal the decision to the European Court of Human Rights.
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Appeal accepted • 25%
Other • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Appeal rejected • 25%
Partially Successful • 34%
Appeal Unsuccessful • 33%
Appeal Successful • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other • 25%
Sarkozy acquitted • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Sarkozy convicted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted on some charges • 25%
Other • 25%