Market
What will be the public opinion on Sarkozy's sentencing by end of 2025?
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France•Cour de Cassation•Nicolas Sarkozy•Affaire Bismuth•Sarkozy•French•Thierry Herzog•Gilbert Azibert
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support sentencing • 25%
Majority oppose sentencing • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%
No clear majority opinion • 25%
Public opinion polls conducted by reputable organizations
Story
France's High Court Upholds Sarkozy's Three-Year Corruption Sentence; One Year Under Electronic Monitoring
Dec 18, 2024, 01:12 PM
France's highest court, the Cour de Cassation, has definitively upheld the conviction of former President Nicolas Sarkozy for corruption and influence peddling in the 'wiretapping affair,' also known as the 'Affaire Bismuth.' In a historic ruling announced on Wednesday, December 18, 2024, at 2 p.m., Sarkozy was sentenced to three years in prison, with one year to be served under electronic monitoring at home, making him the first former French head of state to receive a custodial sentence. The court rejected all appeals filed by Sarkozy and his co-defendants, lawyer Thierry Herzog and magistrate Gilbert Azibert, confirming their guilt on charges of corruption, influence peddling, and violation of professional secrecy. As a result, Sarkozy is no longer presumed innocent in this case, and his sentencing includes three years of ineligibility from public office. His legal team has indicated an intention to appeal to the European Court of Human Rights.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
More supportive • 25%
More opposed • 25%
No change • 25%
Opinion evenly split • 25%
Majority support conviction • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Majority oppose conviction • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Majority dissatisfied • 25%
Majority satisfied • 25%
Divided • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Predominantly critical • 25%
Predominantly supportive • 25%
Opinion Remains Divided • 25%
No Clear Majority • 25%
Majority Oppose Conviction • 25%
Majority Support Conviction • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspended sentence • 25%
Prison sentence • 25%
Fine only • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Other • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Other political involvement • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Convicted and sentenced to prison • 25%
Convicted but given a suspended sentence • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Sarkozy convicted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Sarkozy acquitted • 25%