Market
What will Sarkozy do politically after his ineligibility period ends by 2027?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Runs for Office • 25%
Retires from Politics • 25%
Joins Political Party in Non-Elective Role • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or declarations from Sarkozy or political parties
Story
France's Highest Court Upholds Sarkozy's Corruption Conviction, Sentences Him to One Year House Arrest with Electronic Bracelet
Dec 18, 2024, 05:11 PM
France's highest court, the Cour de Cassation, has upheld the conviction of former President Nicolas Sarkozy for corruption and influence peddling in the 'Bismuth' case, marking a historic ruling. Sarkozy, who served as president from 2007 to 2012, was sentenced to three years in prison, with one year to be served under house arrest with an electronic bracelet. This decision makes him the first former French head of state to face such a penalty. The conviction stems from the 'Bismuth' case, where Sarkozy and his lawyer Thierry Herzog were found to have offered favors to a high-ranking judge, Gilbert Azibert, in exchange for confidential information about another judicial investigation. Sarkozy has announced plans to appeal to the European Court of Human Rights, arguing the decision is unjust. Despite the appeal, the sentence remains enforceable, and Sarkozy will have to comply with the terms of his house arrest. Additionally, he faces a three-year ineligibility period from holding public office.
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Similar markets
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Other political involvement • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Elected to public office • 25%
No political involvement • 25%
Active in politics without a formal role • 25%
Appointed to a political role • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Other • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
Divided • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Other • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Acquitted • 25%