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What will be cited as the main reason for the breakthrough in Israel-Hamas negotiations?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
International Pressure • 25%
Economic Incentives • 25%
Humanitarian Concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from involved parties, major news outlets
Story
Israeli Officials Report Breakthrough in Doha Negotiations; Hostage Deal with Hamas Could Be Signed Today
Jan 15, 2025, 12:36 PM
Israeli officials report a breakthrough in negotiations in Doha over a hostage and ceasefire deal with Hamas, with major issues now resolved. They are optimistic that the agreement could be signed today or by tomorrow at the latest. According to the officials, Hamas military leader in Gaza, Mohammed Sinwar, has approved the deal. Israeli government ministries have been instructed to prepare for the possible return of hostages. The agreement could be announced as soon as tomorrow and implemented within two days thereafter.
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United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Hamas Actions • 25%
Israeli Actions • 25%
External Influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Partial exchange • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No exchange • 25%
Complete exchange • 25%
Brett McGurk • 25%
Steve Witkoff • 25%
Qatari Prime Minister • 25%
David Barnea • 25%
Lack of international pressure • 25%
Internal Hamas strategy • 25%
U.S. pressure on Israel • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Humanitarian reasons • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Extension of ceasefire • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Lack of international mediation • 25%
New Israeli conditions • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release • 25%
Other • 25%
All equally contribute • 25%
US plays the key role • 25%
Qatar plays the key role • 25%
Egypt plays the key role • 25%
Violation by Israel • 25%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Violation by Hamas • 25%