Market
How many hostages will be released by Hamas by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1 to 10 • 25%
11 to 50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or Hamas, major news outlets
Story
Israeli Officials Report Breakthrough in Doha Negotiations; Hostage Deal with Hamas Could Be Signed Today
Jan 15, 2025, 12:36 PM
Israeli officials report a breakthrough in negotiations in Doha over a hostage and ceasefire deal with Hamas, with major issues now resolved. They are optimistic that the agreement could be signed today or by tomorrow at the latest. According to the officials, Hamas military leader in Gaza, Mohammed Sinwar, has approved the deal. Israeli government ministries have been instructed to prepare for the possible return of hostages. The agreement could be announced as soon as tomorrow and implemented within two days thereafter.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 40 • 25%
41 to 60 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
31 or more • 25%
21-30 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
More than 60 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 50 • 25%
51 to 100 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Less than half released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
More than half released • 25%
10-19 hostages • 25%
All 33 hostages • 25%
20-32 hostages • 25%
Fewer than 10 hostages • 25%
None • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
0 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
11-20 hostages • 25%
21-34 hostages • 25%
More than 34 hostages • 25%
0-10 hostages • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
35 to 50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
20 to 34 • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
35-50 • 25%
11-34 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
None • 25%
21-30 • 25%
1-10 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
11-20 • 25%