Market
What will be the leadership status in Belarus by end of 2025 following the treaty?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
New president elected • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Official announcements from the Belarusian government or verified by international news agencies
Story
Russia, Belarus Sign Security Pact with Nuclear Provisions, Electricity Market Treaty
Dec 6, 2024, 12:03 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko have formalized a new security treaty during a summit in Minsk, marking a significant enhancement in their strategic partnership. The agreement, signed within the framework of the Union State, includes mutual security guarantees, with provisions for the deployment of all types of forces, including nuclear weapons. This treaty underscores the commitment to mutual defense and sovereignty, potentially involving the use of Russian nuclear capabilities for defensive purposes. The leaders also signed a treaty on a common electricity market, further integrating their economies. The signing took place at the Union State Council meeting, celebrating 25 years of the Union State treaty.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Military leadership • 25%
New president appointed • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
Increased economic sanctions • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Improvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
González takes office • 25%
Increased cooperation with NATO • 25%
Neutral stance with no changes • 25%
Request for reduction of foreign military presence • 25%
Continued support for Russian military presence • 25%
Fully sovereign and recognized • 25%
Partially sovereign with limited recognition • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Ceased to exist as a sovereign state • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Other • 25%
New President from Zelenskyy's Party • 25%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains President • 25%
New President from Opposition Party • 25%
Partial normalization • 25%
No normalization • 25%
Other • 25%
Full normalization • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Divided • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%