Market
What will be the outcome of diplomatic talks between Iran and Trump administration by end of 2025?
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International Atomic Energy Agency•IAEA•Rafael Grossi•Davos•Iran•Donald Trump•Middle East•Grossi•Trump•European powers
Resolution / Starting Odds
New agreement reached • 25%
Talks continue without agreement • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Official announcements or press releases from the U.S. or Iranian government
Story
IAEA's Rafael Grossi Urges Iran for Nuclear Understanding with Trump at Davos Amid Uranium Concerns
Jan 21, 2025, 11:28 AM
The Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Grossi, speaking in Davos, has urged Iran to reach a nuclear understanding with the administration of Donald Trump to prevent another military conflict in the Middle East. Grossi emphasized the necessity of an agreement, referencing the previous nuclear deal from which the U.S. withdrew under Trump's first term. He highlighted Iran's continued production of highly enriched uranium and stressed the indispensable role of the U.S. in resolving the issue. Grossi's comments come amid escalating tensions and increased scrutiny from European powers on Iran's nuclear activities.
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Similar markets
Successful agreement • 25%
Talks initiated but stalled • 25%
Talks held but no agreement • 25%
No talks held • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Talks Postponed • 25%
Talks Canceled • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Negotiations with no agreement • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Comprehensive agreement • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Military Conflict • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Successful hostage release • 25%
Iran develops nuclear weapon • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US conducts military strike • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Talks rejected • 25%
Talks initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%