Market
What changes will occur in U.S. Syria policy by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Official U.S. foreign policy announcements or credible international news reports
Story
Turkey's FM Fidan Discusses Syria with Blinken, Accuses U.S. of Backing Terrorists
Dec 1, 2024, 12:03 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced that Turkey is not involved in the ongoing clashes in Aleppo, Syria, but is taking precautionary measures to prevent any actions that could lead to increased instability or trigger a new wave of migration. Fidan stated that "the lifeline of terrorist groups in the region lies in the hands of the United States. Without U.S. support, they cannot survive." He emphasized that Ankara will not allow terrorist threats targeting its security or Syrian civilians. In a phone call with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Fidan reiterated Turkey's opposition to developments that could escalate tensions in the region and underscored Turkey's support for efforts to reduce tensions in Syria.
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Similar markets
Sanctions on Syria • 25%
Continued non-involvement • 25%
Military support to rebels • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
More supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
No change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Less supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Russia increases involvement • 25%
Russia reduces involvement • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
Reduced engagement • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Reduction to core 900 troops • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Increased Stability • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. Forces • 25%
Continued Chaos • 25%
Strengthened U.S. Presence • 25%